PFR 5-Year Financial Forecast Seminar

PFR 5-Year Financial Forecast Seminar - Avon Lake

Host Organization: Ohio School Boards Association (OSBA); Jeff Chambers; (614) 540-4000 ext 271; [email protected]
Event Date: 8/10/2017
# of Hours Available: 3
Location: Avon Lake High School
175 Avon Belden Road
Avon Lake, OH 44012
Onsite Contact: Autumn Streng
Treasurer/CFO
Avon Lake CSD
440-933-5163 ext. 1518
[email protected]

Conference Website
http://pfrcfo.com/forecasting-seminars/

Required Materials
Course Description Quick Guide

Other Event Materials
MyCPIM Worksheet

Thursday 8/10/2017

8:30 AM - 10:00 AM

Course Name	Speaker(s)	Hours Available
Local Revenue Projections	Ernie Strawser, Consultant, Public Finance Resources, Inc., Mike Sobul, Consultant, Public Finance Resources, Inc.	1.5	View

1:00 PM - 2:30 PM

Course Name	Speaker(s)	Hours Available
State Formula Funding	Ernie Strawser, Consultant, Public Finance Resources, Inc., Mike Sobul, Consultant, Public Finance Resources, Inc.	1.5	View

Course Details: Local Revenue Projections

Course Description and Learning Objectives

Target Audiences: School Districts

Category: Tax Collection

Local funding, i.e. property and income taxes, is one of the two major sources of revenue that Ohio school districts receive and need to manage their cash flow to – especially given the cyclical nature of this type of revenue source. In this session, Ernie Strawser, Stacy Overly, Bryan “Matt” Bunting, Mike Sobul and Ryan Ghizzoni, consultants at Public Finance Resources, will provide information on local economic indicators and assist school district treasurers in making reliable property tax estimates for the fiscal year. Items to be covered in this session are:

¬ Real estate tax abstract – overview and what story is it telling for your district?
¬ Valuations – what’s going on around the state and locally? How will the changes to the CAUV program impact you? What to model going forward.
¬ Tax rates – what has been happening to your tax rates? HB 920 impact, and how tax rates respond to modeled valuation changes. How do thinks looking in future years, and overall impact to revenue?
¬ Tax settlement sheets – what are your tax settlement sheets telling you, or omitting? – advances, delinquencies, refunds, exemptions, rollback and homestead reimbursement, and year-over-year change analysis.
¬ Putting it altogether – making future year projections, including impact analysis and modeling.
¬ Public utility and property tax allocation – review and revenue projections
¬ Income tax – review and revenue projections, plus statewide and local trend discussion

Tax revenue estimates are then used to update cash flow projections for current and future fiscal years, which will then give the district treasurers a reliable picture of the ‘ebb and flow’ of their revenue in which they need to manage their districts to. This data will also lend well to income tax cash flow projections to be discussed later on in the seminar.

Course Material

N/A

Ernie Strawser, Consultant, Public Finance Resources, Inc.

[email protected]
2132 Williams Ave
Norwood, OH 45212
Phone: (740) 412-3498

Ernie Strawser, Consultant, provides direct services to public finance clients. He has over 30 years of public finance experience as a CFO, consultant, and developer and instructor of financial forecasting techniques and tools which have been used by over two hundred Ohio school district CFOs. Ernie works with clients to facilitate their understanding of local financial results, trends, and strategies. He holds both a Master’s of Science in Administration from Central Michigan University and a Bachelor of Science in Finance from Ohio University.

Mike Sobul, Consultant, Public Finance Resources, Inc.

[email protected]
130 N. Granger St.
Granville, OH 43023
Phone: 740-587-8116

Mike Sobul has been the Treasurer of the Granville schools since November 2011. Prior to joining the district, he was the Section Chief for Forecasting and Special Projects at the Tax Analysis Division of the Ohio Department of Taxation. He had served at the Department of Taxation from December 1986 until his retirement in July 2011. Prior to joining the Department of Taxation, Mike served for two and one-half years as research associate at the Urban Center at Cleveland State University and two years as a budget analyst for the city of Cleveland.

Mike received his B.A. from Wittenberg University in 1980 and his Masters of Public Policy from the University of Michigan in 1982.

Course Details: State Formula Funding

Course Description and Learning Objectives

Target Audiences: School Districts

Category: Cash Management

State funding is one of the two major sources of revenue that Ohio school districts receive and need to manage their cash flow to. With a new biennial budget set for release for the FY 2018/2019 school year, it is essential that treasurers understand all the pieces of the funding formula and how the interaction of those pieces impact the cash they receive as circumstances change throughout the year. In this session, Ernie Strawser, Stacy Overly, Bryan “Matt” Bunting, Mike Sobul and Ryan Ghizzoni, consultants at Public Finance Resources, will analyze the components of the funding formula and how changes in enrollment and economic factors could have a major impact on projected funding and district wealth ranking. Information to be covered in this session includes:

¬ What changed from the prior formula?
¬ Enrollment – overall trends, counting kids and projecting
¬ State funding components – discussion of each funding component, and what’s important to calculating and projecting.
¬ The cap, guarantee and formula – strategic concept, including risk and exposure
¬ Your district’s state funding message
¬ Economic disadvantaged funding
¬ Unrestricted and restricted aid wrap-up
¬ Tangible personal property reimbursement phase-out

Knowing the factors that impact funding, the district CFO will be better prepared to project current and future year cash flow revenue.

Course Material

N/A

Ernie Strawser, Consultant, Public Finance Resources, Inc.

[email protected]
2132 Williams Ave
Norwood, OH 45212
Phone: (740) 412-3498

Mike Sobul, Consultant, Public Finance Resources, Inc.

[email protected]
130 N. Granger St.
Granville, OH 43023
Phone: 740-587-8116

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